Fiscal and monetary policies will continue to be strengthened. Next year, we will emphasize the "combination boxing". In 2025, China will "implement a more active and promising macro policy". According to the deployment of the Central Economic Work Conference, as two important pillars in the macroeconomic governance system, fiscal policy will be "more active" than before, maintaining policy continuity and releasing the determination to overweight policies; Monetary policy will turn to "moderate easing" and continue to adhere to the position of supportive monetary policy. "Precious policy tools should be used at critical stages." Insiders say that in the stage of insufficient effective credit demand and weak market expectations, boost market confidence; At the stage of accelerating the issuance of government bonds, supporting a more active fiscal policy is effective and laying a good policy "combination boxing". (Securities Times)BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited traded 175,000 shares today with a turnover of 44,625,200 yuan, while Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited traded 175,000 shares today with a turnover of 44,625,200 yuan, accounting for 0.58% of the total turnover of the day. The average transaction price was 255 yuan, which was 4.51% lower than the market closing price of 267.03 yuan, of which the highest transaction price was 267.03 yuan and the lowest transaction price was 218.97 yuan.
Huilv Ecology: The plan to increase capital to Junheng Technology to achieve control constitutes a major asset restructuring. Huilv Ecology announced that the company and Peng Kaisheng plan to increase capital to Wuhan Junheng Technology Co., Ltd. by paying cash. Before this capital increase, listed companies held 35% equity of Junheng Technology. After this capital increase is completed, listed companies will hold 51% equity of Junheng Technology to control Junheng Technology and include Junheng Technology in the scope of consolidated statements. The total consideration of this transaction is 246 million yuan, all of which are paid in cash. According to the relevant provisions of the Measures for the Administration of Major Asset Restructuring of Listed Companies, this transaction constitutes a major asset restructuring.The US dollar index rose on the 12th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.23% that day and closed at 106.957 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0473 US dollars, lower than 1.0492 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2670, down from $1.2745 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.54 yen, down from 152.65 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8914 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8848 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4208 Canadian dollars, higher than 1.4162 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 11.0106, higher than SEK 10.9791 in the previous trading day.Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited traded 175,000 shares today with a turnover of 44,625,200 yuan, while Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited traded 175,000 shares today with a turnover of 44,625,200 yuan, accounting for 0.58% of the total turnover of the day. The average transaction price was 255 yuan, which was 4.51% lower than the market closing price of 267.03 yuan, of which the highest transaction price was 267.03 yuan and the lowest transaction price was 218.97 yuan.
Institution: The European Central Bank is paying attention to the weakness of the euro. The European Central Bank said yesterday that inflation is slowing down and hinted that it will cut interest rates again. However, Joost Van Leenders, an analyst at Van Lanschot kemen, said in a report that the European Central Bank will pay close attention to the recent weakness of the euro. As the import price rises, a weak currency may push up inflation. The senior investment strategist said that since the current deposit interest rate in the euro zone is 3% and the neutral interest rate is around 2%, the European Central Bank will cut interest rates at least four times. However, European Central Bank President Lagarde stressed that the inflation risk is two-sided.Ukraine National Natural Gas Transportation Company: On December 14th, the Russian natural gas passing through Sujia border crossing point was 42.39 million cubic meters, and on December 13th, it was 42.33 million cubic meters.The self-built valuation model of bank wealth managers has met with "standardization": some institutions have re-adopted the strategy of excess return of the bank's tier-2 capital bonds with the valuation system of China Securities and China Securities, and recently, the regulatory authorities issued a document to the bank wealth management subsidiary, demanding that the self-built valuation model should not be used to smooth the net value fluctuation, and the valuation standards provided by third parties such as China Securities and China Securities should be adopted, and self-inspection and rectification should be carried out. The purpose of this move is to prevent the bank's wealth management subsidiaries from adjusting product income through self-built models, and to carry out "fund pool" business in disguise to ensure market fairness. At present, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have received this document, and have begun to adjust the net value calculation methods of day-opening and closed wealth management products, and re-adopt third-party valuation for investment products such as bank tier 2 capital bonds. A person from a bank financing subsidiary told reporters that he heard that the financial supervision department held a small-scale meeting last week, asking the bank financing subsidiary to respect the new asset management rules and not to violate accounting standards. In addition, the relevant departments also require the financial subsidiaries of banks that have used the self-built valuation model to carry out rectification, and the financial subsidiaries that have been notified shall submit corresponding rectification plans and measures reports within one month. In the view of the above-mentioned bank wealth managers, it is not excluded that some bank wealth management subsidiaries have lowered the allocation ratio of bank tier-2 capital bonds due to the influence of regulatory policies, because when the self-built valuation model is "standardized", the strategy of over-allocating bank tier-2 capital bonds to obtain excess returns becomes increasingly difficult when the net product value fluctuates relatively smoothly. (per meridian)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14